Scenario Outcomes - Reinvest

The reinvest scenario features extensive investment in infrastructure and a higher density development pattern than today. For more description of the policies and investments in the reinvest scenario, click here.

The table below describes the outcomes of the reinvest scenario on several key measures. Click the name of each outcome for more information about how the scenario would affect it. To compare all of the scenarios at once, click here.

Outcome	How would the reinvest scenario change this from the current trend?	Degree of change	What strategies in this scenario caused this change?
Land consumption	Improves	28% less farmland and 37% less open space consumed	An aggressive farmland preservation program was employed, and development was concentrated in more densely developed areas, reducing pressure on open space.
Infill	Improves	18% more infill	Transportation improvements, a major emphasis on transit oriented development (TOD), and brownfield remediation spurred growth in existing communities. An aggressive farmland preservation program also prevented development on the region’s prime farmland.
Open space access	Improves greatly	57% more people with access	An explicit strategy to add parks was included in the scenario. This focused park additions on those parts of the region with the lowest levels of open space access, generally in older urban areas.
Imperviousness and runoff	Improves	10% less imperviousness, and 13% less in sensitive watersheds	Development densities were significantly higher, leading to less conversion of undeveloped land.
Water use	Improves	51% less growth in residential water use	Significantly higher development densities, or significantly smaller lots. Adoption of conservation BMPs by 10% of eligible households.
Energy and greenhouse gas emissions			Coming soon
Air quality	Worsens slightly	1% to 7% more emissions	Additional auto travel occurred in this scenario, largely because of the arterial and expressway improvements that were included.
Congestion	Improves greatly	45% less congested VHT; 40% less congested VMT	A number of dramatic transportation infrastructure improvements were made which improved travel conditions for all modes. Capacity additions on arterials and expressways, in particular, reduced vehicle hours traveled in congestion, and transit improvements shifted some travel to transit.
Mode share	Improves slightly	10% more transit, walking, and biking trips	Transit, walking and biking were increased by use of transit oriented development strategies. Transportation infrastructure improvements including adding significant capacity to roadways led to more auto trips as well.
Travel times	Improves	14% reduction for auto; 9% reduction for transit	A number of infrastructure improvements, including substantial increases in arterial and expressway capacity and transit-specific capital improvements, reduced travel times. The scenario also included a denser land use pattern which brought origins and destinations closer together.
H+T (housing + transportation) cost			Coming soon
Jobs-housing access	Improves greatly	12% to 52% more accessible jobs	Substantial increases in arterial and expressway capacity, as well as other transportation infrastructure improvements, improved travel speed and allowed residents to travel further to find work. Also, a denser development pattern brought destinations closer together.
Environmental justice	Improves greatly	49% more growth; 41 to 50% more accessible jobs	Transportation improvements, a major emphasis on transit oriented development (TOD), and brownfield remediation spurred growth in existing communities. Significant investment in arterial improvements in congested areas and transit capital facilities sped travel .
Industry mix	Construction, retail and wholesale trade, various services, transportation and logistics, and some manufacturing sectors are expected to increase. Click on the row heading for more details.
Scenario cost	Full cost estimates have not been prepared, but the strategies in this scenario appear to be quite expensive. Click on the row heading for more details.

The scenarios will also have impacts outside the physical planning realm. With the support of The Chicago Community Trust, a number of reports on human and community development topics were prepared. The links below contain some description of how the physical planning decisions included within each scenario will affect outcomes in human and community development areas, as well as links to the reports on these topics.

Arts and culture
Crime and justice
Education (including early childhood, K-12, and higher education)
Emergency preparedness
Food
Health
Human relations
Hunger
Workforce development

CMAP's Human Services Committee also addressed the effects that physical planning decisions would have on elderly or disabled residents of region. The links below show the results of this work.

Disabled residents
Elderly residents

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I found the content helpful, especially the reports on human and community topics such as food, health, and hunger. I look forward to more being added, particularly planning for the aging, to help them stay connected in community, yet have independence without reliance on driving a car.

Comment: Sue Lannin 08/05/2009 @ 6:16 PM.

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