Scenario Outcomes - Comparison

The table below compares the outcomes of the three scenarios in terms of several key measures. Click the name of each outcome for more information about how each scenario would affect it. To focus on one scenario at a time, click the scenario name.

Outcome	Change between today and 2040, based on current trends	Scenario change from current trends
Outcome	Change between today and 2040, based on current trends	Reinvest	Preserve	Innovate
Land consumption	The region will lose 490,000 acres of farmland and 190,000 acres of open space.	Improves	Improves greatly	Improves
Infill	Around 2/3 of growth will occur in an infill location.	Improves	Improves slightly	Stays the same
Open space access	Access to open space will remain comparable to today.	Improves greatly	Improves	Improves
Imperviousness and runoff	The region will add 183,00 acres of impervious surfaces, including 46,000 in sensitive watersheds.	Improves	Improves slightly	Improves slightly
Water use	Residential water use will increase by 244 million gallons per day.	Improves	Improves greatly	Improves
Energy and greenhouse gas emissions	Coming soon
Air quality	Air quality will improve markedly due to technological advances.	Worsens slightly	Improves slightly	Worsens slightly**
Congestion	Traffic congestion will increase by nearly 50%.	Improves greatly	Improves slightly	Improves slightly
Mode share	The share of trips made using transit, walking, or biking will remain relatively constant.	Improves slightly	Improves	Improves
Travel times	Travel times will increase for both auto and transit.	Improves	Mixed results	Mixed results
H+T (housing + transportation) cost	Coming soon
Jobs-housing access	Job accessibility will remain comparable to today.	Improves greatly	Improves slightly	Improves greatly**
Environmental justice	"Environmental justice" areas grow by 22%, and job accessibility remains comparable to today.	Improves greatly	Improves slightly	Mixed results**
Industry mix	Qualitative analysis; click row heading for more details.
Scenario cost	Qualitative analysis; click row heading for more details.

** These results are subject to interpretation; click on the row heading for more information.

The scenarios will also have impacts outside the physical planning realm. With the support of The Chicago Community Trust, a number of reports on human and community development topics were prepared. The links below contain some description of how the physical planning decisions included within each scenario will affect outcomes in human and community development areas, as well as links to the reports on these topics.

Arts and culture
Crime and justice
Education (including early childhood, K-12, and higher education)
Emergency preparedness
Food
Health
Human relations
Hunger
Workforce development

CMAP's Human Services Committee also addressed the effects that physical planning decisions would have on elderly or disabled residents of region. The links below show the results of this work.

Disabled residents
Elderly residents

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